Premier league fantasy football tips forwards

Understanding the forward role in fpl

Forwards are the primary goalscorers in football, and in FPL, goals equal points. A goal typically earns a forward 4 points, significantly more than other positions. Therefore, investing wisely in your forward line is crucial for FPL success. However, not all forwards are created equal. Consider factors like playing time, penalty-taking duties, and team form when making your selections. For example, a forward who plays 90 minutes every week is far more valuable than one who is frequently subbed off after 60 minutes, even if their points per game are similar. Remember that clean sheets don't apply to forwards, so their value is solely dependent on attacking returns.

Analyzing form and fixtures

A player's current form is a strong indicator of future performance. Look at recent goalscoring records, assists, and contribution to the team. However, form is fleeting, so combine it with fixture analysis. A prolific goalscorer facing a tough run of fixtures against strong defensive teams may not be the best investment. Conversely, a less well-known forward with easier upcoming fixtures could be a hidden gem. Websites like Fantasy Football Fix and WhoScored provide excellent tools for fixture analysis and player form tracking. For instance, if Harry Kane is on a hot streak but has upcoming matches against Liverpool and Manchester City, consider a short-term transfer out in favour of a cheaper option with more favourable games.

Identifying potential bargain forwards

The key to a successful FPL team is often finding undervalued players who can deliver consistent points at a lower price. Keep an eye on newly promoted teams or players who have recently transferred to the Premier League. These players may be initially overlooked but can quickly establish themselves as key contributors. Also, monitor injury situations within teams. An injury to a key forward can open up opportunities for a backup player to step up and score goals. For example, Dominic Calvert-Lewin's early-season injury in 2022 led to Neal Maupay getting more playing time and becoming a popular budget forward pick for a short period.

Considering underlying statistics

Beyond goals and assists, underlying statistics provide valuable insights into a player's potential. Key metrics to consider include:

• Expected Goals (xG): This measures the quality of chances a player has had. A high xG suggests a player is getting into good positions to score.
• Expected Assists (xA): This measures the quality of chances a player has created for their teammates.
• Shots per Game: A higher number of shots indicates a player is actively involved in attacking play.
• Key Passes: These are passes that lead to a shot on goal.

Captaincy considerations

The captaincy is arguably the most important decision you make each week in FPL, as your captain's points are doubled. Choosing the right forward as captain can significantly boost your score. Look for forwards who are playing at home against weaker opposition or who have a history of scoring against a particular team. Consider the player's penalty-taking status, as a penalty offers a high probability of a goal. Also, be mindful of potential rotation risks, especially during busy periods like Christmas and New Year. For example, Mohamed Salah playing at home against a newly promoted team is often a popular and reliable captaincy choice due to his high goal-scoring potential.